Deadline: 16-Jul-23
The United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) invites not profit-making organizations to submit grant proposals that focus on the project: Review of Country Experiences in Risk Analytics for Early Warning and Impact-Based Forecasting Strengthening.
Purpose
- The purpose of this initiative is to review in 5 countries under Early Warnings for All (EW4All) nationally led efforts to advance risk analytics for early warning and impact-based forecasting. The review will consolidate experiences, successes, gaps and learnings respecting national efforts to apply risk knowledge (hazards, exposure, vulnerability, loss and damage trends) to improve early warning and IBF systems, as well as the range of governance systems used in these countries to anticipate, prepare, avoid, respond and recover from hazard events once impact-based early warning systems have been triggered.
Funding Information and Duration
- The maximum amount requested from UNDRR for the implementation of this project cannot exceed 80,000 USD.
- The duration of the proposed project cannot exceed 12 months and shall be completed by 30 August 2024.
Outcome
- Expand the body of evidence and country case-studies upon which global good practices can emerge for improving the application of risk information for effective impact-based early warning services.
Outputs
- This initiative will deliver the following outputs:
- Review of national experiences in producing, accessing and applying risk information to improve impact-based forecasting (IBF) and early warning systems, drawing lessons learned, good practices, and general recommendations for improvement;
- Put forward solutions, including machine learning algorithms, to aggregate multiple sources of risk information at national and sub-national scale on the extent, affected populations and effects of hazards events for inclusion in digital risk information platforms, drawing on sources such as Desinventar, EM-DAT, OCHA, GDACS, WMO, IDMC-GIDD and others.
- Recommend means to improve risk information management to accelerate the aggregation of data on the impacts and effects of hazard events, including through better resolution on the temporal, spatial extent and cascading effects derived by a trigger event or compounding trigger events. iv.
- Advance approaches to forensic back casting of major hazard events and how they impacted vulnerability and recovery in at least 5 countries over the term of this grant, to be pre-identified based on intensity and scale of impacts and drawing on existing global technical guidance from WMO and others (e.g., Cataloguing Hazardous Events (CHE) methodology, connecting databases through Universal Unique Identifiers).
- Promote coordination amongst diverse stakeholders active in collection, analysis, monitoring, modelling, and application of risk information for early warning and impact-based forecasting.
Eligible Activities
- Development and application of methodology to aggregate temporal and spatial effects (direct and indirect) on exposed populations, infrastructure, and services from disaster events in five countries (over 5-10 years’ period), including assessment of accuracy of relevant impact-forecast models and estimates.
- Development and application of API for automatic data wrangling from diverse sources on observed hazard events, their trigger(s), effects and related operational response(s) of diverse actors to observed effects and impact chains (including data validation).
- Design and delivery of survey instrument(s) to consolidate country experiences in apply risk information for impact-based early warning systems.
- Review of draft results with key stakeholders to verify approaches and document learning;
- Formulate visualization options to showcase results for potential adoption by national actors into their existing or other digital risk information systems.
- Preparation and dissemination of briefing materials targeting national government, UN, I/NGO and other actors on the benefits and approaches to risk data aggregation to improve early warning and impact-based forecasting.
- Development and delivery of outreach plan to showcase results of this initiative and marshal coordination amongst diverse stakeholders across government, UN, donor organizations, I/NGOs and research community.
For more information, visit United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR).